Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.036554 0.042713 0.049086 0.056135 0.063680 0.071481 0.080127
2025-11-09 0.026582 0.035370 0.045025 0.056246 0.068776 0.082205 0.097561
2025-11-16 0.018844 0.028711 0.040209 0.054177 0.070330 0.088127 0.108949
2025-11-23 0.013400 0.023626 0.036278 0.052288 0.071368 0.092873 0.118487
2025-11-30 0.010519 0.021175 0.035049 0.053176 0.075270 0.100575 0.131092
2025-12-07 0.008452 0.019413 0.034386 0.054506 0.079492 0.108484 0.143791
2025-12-14 0.007094 0.018407 0.034527 0.056692 0.084628 0.117370 0.157540
2025-12-21 0.005571 0.016835 0.033703 0.057495 0.087957 0.124037 0.168638
2025-12-28 0.005314 0.017318 0.035717 0.061969 0.095814 0.136079 0.186015
2026-01-04 0.003623 0.014868 0.033303 0.060430 0.096040 0.138897 0.192484
2026-01-11 0.002803 0.013845 0.032868 0.061458 0.099435 0.145483 0.203358
2026-01-18 0.002011 0.012617 0.031989 0.061786 0.101872 0.150857 0.212756
2026-01-25 0.001425 0.011700 0.031608 0.062907 0.105502 0.157916 0.224462
2026-02-01 0.000838 0.010424 0.030520 0.062973 0.107749 0.163295 0.234206
2026-02-08 0.000275 0.008453 0.027978 0.060768 0.106881 0.164722 0.239108
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.006783 0.025688 0.058759 0.106151 0.166234 0.244040
2026-02-22 NaN 0.006203 0.025387 0.059703 0.109372 0.172688 0.254971
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005811 0.025407 0.061115 0.113214 0.179918 0.266846
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005707 0.026012 0.063435 0.118299 0.188727 0.280661
2026-03-15 NaN 0.005213 0.025709 0.064285 0.121339 0.194919 0.291253
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005789 0.027825 0.069024 0.129786 0.208033 0.310382
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004687 0.026016 0.067395 0.129342 0.209747 0.315443
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004341 0.025902 0.068483 0.132673 0.216292 0.326460